Nate Yeomans

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Date: October 27th, 2012

Medium size WNW swell is on track for the first day of the waiting period, Thursday the 1st. A larger WNW swell looks possible for the 4th-5th and the long range is showing potential for a couple of small to medium size WNW swells to close out the last 3-4 days of the waiting period.




The overall outlook is more promising than when we initially looked at the long range charts and models on Wednesday. At this point we have two medium size or better swells on the radar:


  • WNW swell for Thursday the 1st in the head high to slightly overhead range, if the storm creating the swell behaves as currently forecast. Those waves drop off 30-40% on Friday and then drop further on Saturday.
  • A potentially larger WNW swell for Sunday and Monday the 4th-5th that looks relatively solid at this point (maybe a couple feet overhead). Again, this is pending storm development a few days from now but looks promising at this point.


We’ll need to watch conditions for the first swell with a passing front forecast to take place around Wed/Thur. We could see some lingering south wind early morning on Thursday, with conditions cleaning up in the afternoon as winds shift WNW/NW and also looks fairly light.


Weak high pressure is forecast to build over the region for the 3rd-5th time frame with light wind and favorable conditions for the second swell. Stay tuned for further details on both of these swells, and their accompanying conditions, as we’ll know more in the next few days.


Going further out, long range charts point to more storm and swell activity for the last 3-4 days of the waiting period. It doesn’t look big, at this point, but does look very contestable.


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