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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 1st

Date: November 2nd, 2012

BRIEF OVERVIEW: The current WNW swell will fade through the day on Friday and offer small leftovers for most of the day on Saturday. A larger WNW swell will build all day Sunday, peak overnight, and then ease through the day on Monday. Another fun size WNW swell is lining up for Tuesday.

 

FRIDAY 2nd
SWELL/SURF: Fading, but contestable, WNW swell with mostly 3-4’+ sets and a few leftover waves in the 5’+ range. The swell will be backing down through the day, although the afternoon lower tide will help out overall surf conditions.
WIND/WEATHER: Light/variable wind in the morning. WNW wind in the afternoon 7-10kts. Patchy, thick fog possible in the morning. Clearing, at least partially, in the afternoon.

SATURDAY 3rd
SWELL/SURF: Weak leftovers from the WNW and minor SW swell with very small surfthrough the full tides in the morning/early afternoon. As the tide drops some 2-3’ (waist high) sets show in the afternoon.
WIND/WEATHER: Gradually clearing skies and light/variable to light NEwind in the morning. WNW wind in the afternoon 8-10kts.

SUNDAY 4th
SWELL/SURF: Rebuilding swell/surf through the day. Fun size WNW swell in the morning with 4-5’+ faces. Larger, long period NW swell building through the afternoon with 5-7’+ faces if the storm behaves as forecast in the next 24 hours.
WIND/WEATHER: Mostly sunny skies and light/variable to light NE wind in the morning. Light NW wind in the afternoon 5-7kts.

MONDAY 5th
SWELL/SURF: Mid to longer period WNW swell continues and is strongest in the morning, with a fading trend in the afternoon. Look for surf running 4-7’+ range as long as the storm behaves as forecast in the next day or so. Stay tuned.
WIND/WEATHER: Mostly sunny skies and light/variable to light ENE/NE wind in the morning. Light/variable NW wind in the afternoon.

TUESDAY 6th
SWELL/SURF: Potential reinforcing WNW swell for fun size surf in the head high range. Stay tuned.
WIND/WEATHER: Mostly sunny skies and light/variable to light ENE/NE wind in the morning. Light/variable NW wind in the afternoon.

SWELL/WEATHER SUMMARY
The current WNW swell will be fading through the day on Friday. We’ll still see very contestable waves, but overall we’ll be down a notch or two from Thursday afternoon (and the fuller tides also negatively affecting surf quality in the morning), with a further fading trend through the day. Saturday will be even smaller and the surf will be quite weak, especially on the fuller tides in the morning.

Our next swell continues to look promising and will very likely offer the largest waves of the waiting period Sunday afternoon and Monday morning. The storm setting this run of surf is intensifying in the Gulf of Alaska now and we’re seeing satellite confirmed wind of 40-50 knots.

The swell will come in a couple pulses, with the first showing Sunday morning in the head high range with some larger sets. The second pulse of longer period and more northwesterly swell will build through the afternoon with waves running in the head high to a couple feet overhead range and possibly a bit larger by sundown. Similar size swell will continue Monday morning, with a fading trend through the day on Monday. This storm is just getting going now and has another solid day of life left, so we’ll have more concrete details in the next couple of forecasts.

Going further out, it now looks like we could see another fun size pulse of swell on Tuesday in the head high+ range (similar to what we’re seeing now). Stay tuned. Beyond that, things look fairly slow from the North Pacific to close out the waiting period.

Wind/Weather
Weak high pressure will be building over the region Friday and Saturday. That will mean patchy, potentially thick, fog in the mornings both days with clearing skies over the afternoons. A diurnal wind pattern will also set up with weak land breezes in the morning (NNE/NE) and light to moderate WNW wind in the afternoons.

The high will strengthen over the region Sunday/Monday with mostly sunny skiesand warm weather (after chilly mornings) and light NE/ENE wind in the mornings and light/variable NW wind in the afternoons. Stronger NW’erly flow looks likely to develop for the end of next week. Stay tuned.

Next Update: Friday night, Nov 2nd

 

 

 

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