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Sunday, November 4th

Date: November 5th, 2012

BRIEF OVERVIEW:  The current NW swell will continue Monday morning, with a fading trend through the day. Another medium size WNW swellmoves in on Tuesday, fading Wed/Thur. Long range charts and models indicateanother mid period and contestable swell will move in on Friday. Good to excellent wind and weather conditions prevail Mon-Tue, before stronger wind, much cooler weather and possible rain develops for the second half of the week. There are no major WNW swells to close out the waiting period, although we will see an inconsistent, but contestable, SSW swell move in Fri-Sun.

 

MONDAY 5th

SWELL/SURF: Mid to longer period WNW swell continues and is strongest in the morning, with a fading trend in the afternoon. Look for surf running in the 4-6’ occ 7’ range in the morning with decreasing and smaller surf through the afternoon.

WIND/WEATHER: Mostly sunny skies and light/variable to light ENE/NE wind in the morning. Hot weather (after a chilly early morning). Light/variable NW wind in the afternoon.

 

TUESDAY 6th

SWELL/SURF: New WNW swell fills in with 4-6’+ faces with the largest sets up to a couple feet overhead. The swell will be strongest in the morning before backing down in the afternoon.

WIND/WEATHER: Mostly sunny skies and light/variable to light ENE/NE wind in the morning. Hot weather (after a chilly early morning). Light/variable NW wind in the afternoon.

 

WEDNESDAY 7th

SWELL/SURF: Decreasing, mid period WNW swell will be strongest in the morning but dropping off through the day. 3-4’+ faces show in the morning with a few leftover larger sets up top head high, but dropping off through the day.

WIND/WEATHER: Mostly sunny skies and light/variable to light ENE/NE wind in the morning. NW wind increases in the afternoon 10-12kts with much cooler weather than earlier in the week.

 

THURSDAY 8th

SWELL/SURF: Small, fading leftovers from the WNW and small, building SSW swell.Surf is mainly in the waist high range (3’ faces) and maybe a little better.

WIND/WEATHER: A chance of rain with much breezier NW wind 9-16kts+ and strongest in the afternoon. Stay tuned.

 

FRIDAY 9th

SWELL/SURF: New, mid period WNW swell fills in with 3-5’+ faces if the storm setting up the swell behaves as currently forecast.

WIND/WEATHER: A chance of rain with continued breezy NW flow. Stay tuned.

 

 

SWELL/WEATHER SUMMARY

The current NW swell will continue on Monday, although it will have peaked overnight and be down a bit in the morning from what we saw this afternoon. Look for surf still running in the head high range in the morning, with the largest waves 1-2’ overhead (and again somewhat slowed by the fuller tides through the morning). Decreasing surf will prevail through the day.

 

Our next swell will move in on Tuesday and the storm that is creating it has been small, but rather intense. As such, the surf on Tuesday will be a little larger than what we were thinking a few days ago (and also larger than most swell models are indicating). We’ll see another medium size swell move in, strongest Tuesday morning, with surf running in the head high+ range and the larger sets 1-2’ overhead. Fun size leftovers take over Wednesday, with much weaker leftovers by Thursday.

 

Going further out, the swell on Friday is looking a little better on the charts/models now and shoulder-head high+surf will move in for Friday if the storm behaves as currently forecast. Stay tuned, we’ll have more details on this swell as the storm develops later this week. Smaller, fading surf from the WNW will close out the final couple days of the waiting period.

 

We’ll also see a small run of SSW swell over the last couple days of the waiting period, with the surf gradually building on Friday, strongest on Saturday and easing on Sunday. This swell is far better aimed at South and Central America, but the storm creating it has been quite strong and we’ll see a little energy via angular spreading. Overall this would mean lully/inconsistent sets in the shoulder high+ range, and even a little better, but with long waits between sets Friday through Sunday.

 

Wind/Weather

Strong high pressure will be over the region through Tuesday, with sunny skies and hot weather (after chilly mornings). Light NE/ENE wind prevails in the mornings and light/variable NWwind in the afternoons.

 

An area of low pressure will slide down the coast for the second half of the week. Wednesday will be a transition day with increasing NW flow and colder weather, with Thur/Fri potentially seeing some rain and fairly breezy NW wind. Stay tuned.

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